Followers of Newcastle United are progressively regarding Eddie Howe's outfit as an unreliable ally. At their brilliant best, they can be the undisputed thrill-seekers, producing high-octane exhibitions. Yet, in other matches, once-dependable individuals like their midfield linchpin and others utterly fail to appear.
Adding to this issue is a second-half approach suffused by a pronounced streak of chaos. Before their Boxing Day to Old Trafford, the numbers tell a concerning picture: the team has let slip 13 vital Premier League points from leading situations this term and are yet to keep a shutout in 10 straight outings in every tournament. Securing three points at Old Trafford would be only their second-ever domestic success on the road this season.
In contrast, a loss has been tasted once in their last six league fixtures, and although occupying a seemingly lowly eleventh position, they remain a mere 6 marks off the highly-prized top four. Add in an impending two-legged League Cup last-four clash against Manchester City and a strong prospect of moving on to the Champions League last 16, and it becomes easier to understand the manager's guarded hope.
“Our issues aren't limited to issues,” stated the team's manager. “We have positives also. The perspective here is decidedly half full right now. I understand outside observers might have a opposing take, but I feel we are improving.”
The puzzle is: can this collection of players recapture – or perhaps surpass – the achievements of the previous campaign's cup glory and fifth-place finish? Juggling a hectic fixture list complicates.
This tiredness could be the reason behind the inability to maintain a superb opening 45-minute showing against their London rivals, ultimately surrendering a two-goal lead to draw the game. Likewise, it could be the culprit for a subdued performance in a damaging defeat to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side looked lethargic just days after a demanding European away day.
While on-field instruction is clearly Howe's forte, the constant grind of twice-weekly football has severely reduced crucial coaching sessions. This impedes the team's stylistic evolution to playing with summer signing their number nine up front, instead of the now departed Alexander Isak. Although extremely skilled, the German forward does not possess the equivalent blistering breakaway pace or relentless pressing.
In fact, the side's previously effective high press has at times failed. Injuries to crucial engine the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while big-money arrivals the Swedish winger and Jacob Ramsey have had difficulties adapting after their substantial moves.
If a switch to a back three could arguably help the team, a severe backline injury list makes that difficult. Important full-backs will be missing for the next crucial matches, straining the squad's depth.
When playing at their energetic best, they appear almost unplayable. The problem is maintaining that intensity for the entire 90 minutes. The typical alternative approach of sitting back into a passive counter-attacking shape has sometimes proven self-destructive.
“That game became disorganized at 2-2,” conceded the manager. “But the intention was trying to win. We always try to win.”
What appears required is a middle ground – with superior possession retention, a engine room adept of slowing the tempo, and a pragmatic readiness to sometimes accept a draw. However, a ambition to compete on every competitions is pushing thin player options to their limit.
It may seem sacrilegious to some, but a more selective approach in the cup competitions in the initial stages could have eased the current schedule pile-up. With vital Champions League and Premier League games on the horizon, the imperative to strategically choose focus areas is becoming ever more clear.
Eddie Howe acknowledged the scale of the journey remaining. “Being at this club, the pressures are big. Every moment's crucial. We have work to do in the Premier League. We're in the Carabao Cup last four, we aim to progress in the Europe and do well in the FA Cup.
“We're moving in the right direction, but we have lots of improvement to do to become the consistently successful team we envision. The ability to string together sequences of victories has eluded us this season.
“The task is to reach those heights we know we're capable of. My feeling is that the confidence to achieve it is coming back. But now we have to prove it. It's not all doom and gloom right now, but the next few weeks will shape a great deal.”